Human Tech Tree
Current research2015–2026 · Present (2015 – Oct 2026)

Energy & Industry / Manufacturing & Construction

Robots & Lights-Out Factories

In 2025 over 600,000 industrial robots were installed worldwide and 5 million now operate; China accounts for 59% of new installations.

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Factories with robots, sensors and AI increasingly run without people on the lines ('lights-out factories'), though maintenance, logistics and programming still need humans. Chinese makers supply more robots to their home market than foreign makers do (55% in 2025). Humanoid robots in pilot factories are seen as the next step.

As of October 2026

According to the International Federation of Robotics (World Robotics 2026, 24 September 2026), more than 600,000 industrial robots were installed worldwide in 2025 (+11%), and the operating stock rose 9% to a record 5 million. China installed 354,000 (+20%, 59% of the world total); Chinese suppliers held 55% of their home market (57% in 2024). The US (about 38,500) overtook Japan (36,219) for second place, and the IFR projects 655,000 installations in 2026. Reports of fully automated plants and first humanoids in car factories mostly come from the companies themselves and are hard to verify independently.

Open steps

  • Flexible handling of varied parts High AI leverageMake robot cells handle changing parts and contact-rich assembly from few demonstrations instead of days of programming per variant.
  • Automatic cell programming High AI leverageGenerate and test robot programs and layouts from CAD and process specs in simulation, cutting integration time, which is a main cost.
  • Safety rules for balancing robots Low AI leverageFinish and test the safety standard for robots that must actively balance (ISO 25785-1), covering falls, power loss and contact forces near people.
  • Self-inspecting quality and maintenance High AI leverageReplace manual checking with vision and sensor models that catch defects and predict failures, so unattended operation does not hide faults.

Where AI could help

Medium AI leverage. AI eases robot programming, fleet coordination and inspection; capital cost, brownfield integration and flexible grippers set the pace.

  • Program and reprogram robots from demonstrations or language
  • Coordinate robot fleets with learned scheduling
  • Vision-based inspection and quality control
  • Digital-twin simulation to commission lines before building them

Shown so far

  • In June 2025 Amazon said (company claim) its DeepFleet foundation model for robot traffic should improve fleet travel time by 10%. source

Prerequisites

Unlocks

Sources

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