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Current research2025 · Present (2015 – Oct 2026)

Formal Sciences & Matter / Physics

Muon g-2: Final Result

Fermilab measures the muon's magnetic anomaly to 127 parts per billion (June 2025); new lattice calculations bring theory into line.

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The muon acts like a tiny spinning magnet whose strength deviates slightly from the simple value 2 because virtual particles contribute. A mismatch with the prediction would hint at new particles. Fermilab used a 14-m storage ring with a superconducting magnet (moved from Brookhaven) and took data from 2018 to 2023.

As of October 2026

On 3 June 2025 the collaboration released the final result from six years of data, with a precision of 127 ppb, beating the design goal of 140 ppb; it agrees with the 2021 and 2023 results. The new experimental world average of the anomaly is 0.001165920715(145). The Muon g-2 Theory Initiative's 2025 white paper (27 May 2025) replaced electron-positron data with lattice QCD and predicts 0.00116592033(62); the difference is 38(63) in units of 10^-11, well under one sigma, so the earlier gap of 4 to 5 sigma has disappeared. The dispute between lattice and data-driven predictions is not fully settled.

Open steps

  • Sharper lattice hadronic term High AI leverageCut the lattice error on hadronic vacuum polarization (isospin breaking, finite volume, noise); theory error of about 530 ppb is four times the experiment's 127 ppb.
  • Reconcile electron-positron data Medium AI leverageExplain why the CMD-3 measurement and older e+e- data disagree in the two-pion channel, with new independent measurements and combined fits.
  • Muon-electron scattering route (MUonE) Low AI leverageMeasure the hadronic contribution from muon-electron scattering at CERN (MUonE) as a third determination beside lattice QCD and e+e- data.

Where AI could help

Medium AI leverage. The experiment is finished; the open work is the disputed theory input, where AI speeds lattice sampling but data and independent calculations decide.

  • Flow-based and equivariant samplers to cut autocorrelation in lattice QCD ensembles
  • Machine-learned variance reduction for noisy correlators in hadronic contributions
  • Automated cross-checks between lattice and electron-positron data-driven analyses

Shown so far

  • In August 2022 a preprint showed how gauge-equivariant normalizing-flow models can be combined to sample QCD field configurations, aimed at critical slowing-down and topological freezing in lattice calculations. source

Prerequisites

Sources

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