Human Tech Tree
Current research2018-2026 · Present (2015 – Oct 2026)

Civilization / Foundations of Civilization

Open Access & Open Science

About 68% of research works indexed for 2025 are open access; funders such as Plan S and the US NIH require it.

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arXiv (1991) and the Budapest Open Access Initiative (2002) paved the way; Plan S (2018) made open access binding for many funders. In the US, NIH-funded papers have to be openly available immediately since July 2025. Who pays, via publication fees, remains contested.

As of October 2026

OpenAlex counts about 68% of indexed works from 2025 as open access, up from about 31% in 2015; open works outnumbered closed ones around 2021. At the same time, article processing charges shift costs from readers to authors.

Open steps

  • Sustainable open-access business models Low AI leverageResearch what fraction of publishers can sustain fully open journals with institutional or foundation funding instead of author fees or subscriptions.
  • Data repository interop Medium AI leverageDevelop and adopt cross-platform standards (metadata, API, licences) so data is discoverable and usable across repositories.
  • Author rights and CC-BY licensing Low AI leverageAdvocate for author-retains-copyright models and CC-BY-4.0 licensing globally so authors can share their own work.

Where AI could help

Low AI leverage. The block is funding models, publisher incentives and policy; AI helps with metadata and discovery but not with who pays.

  • Detect open-access status and fill missing metadata across repositories and indexes
  • Translate and summarize open papers to widen who can use them
  • Flag paper-mill and predatory outlets before funds are spent

Prerequisites

Unlocks

Sources

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